OVERVIEW + STUDY DETAILS

Understand the result. See the detail.

Start with the finding and its limits.
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Controlled study

STEP 1: weight change at 68 weeks

In STEP 1, mean weight change was −14.9% with semaglutide and −2.4% with placebo at 68 weeks; the published adjusted difference was −12.4 percentage points (95% CI −13.4 to −11.5).

The STEP 1 abstract reports discontinuation due to gastrointestinal events in 59 participants (4.5%) receiving semaglutide and five (0.8%) receiving placebo.

Weight results during 68 or 72 treatment weeks and a two-week sleep intervention answer different questions from a withdrawal comparison after initial treatment. SURMOUNT-4 provides that specific comparison for 52 weeks after randomization.

Evidence design
Randomized comparison
Population
Adults without diabetes with BMI >=30 kg/m2, or >=27 kg/m2 with at least one weight-related coexisting condition; lifestyle intervention in both groups.
Assessment period
Baseline to week 68; During the trial; precise safety window not verified
Reported units
percentage points; % change; %

Keep in view

  • The result concerns 68 weeks of treatment; it does not establish maintenance after withdrawal.
  • The published adjusted difference is −12.4 pp and must not be replaced by subtraction of rounded arm means.
See study details — STEP 1

Study design and methods

Randomized comparison

Randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial; allocation 2:1; 68 weeks; phase 3.

Population

Adults without diabetes with BMI >=30 kg/m2, or >=27 kg/m2 with at least one weight-related coexisting condition; lifestyle intervention in both groups.

Outcome definition
Percent change in body weight from baseline
Assessment period
Value
68
Unit
weeks
Reported statistic
Mean
Unit
% change from baseline
Randomized participants
1961
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
treatment-policy primary estimand
Definition
Treatment effect assessed regardless of treatment discontinuation or rescue interventions, as described in the primary publication abstract.
Analysis population
FAS consists of all randomized participants (1306 semaglutide; 655 placebo).

Extracted outcomes

Reported values, analysis populations and uncertainty, preserved from the curated extraction.
Outcome and groupReported valueAssessment periodSample and denominatorsUncertainty
Percent change in body weight

Semaglutide

Effect estimate

-14.9 % change

Mean

Unit: % change

Baseline to week 68

Study weeks 0–68

Reported N: 1306 — full analysis population

  • 1961 — randomized total; scope: entire trial
  • 1306 — randomized group; scope: Semaglutide

Arm confidence interval not verified; no reconstruction was performed.

Percent change in body weight

Placebo

Effect estimate

-2.4 % change

Mean

Unit: % change

Baseline to week 68

Study weeks 0–68

Reported N: 655 — full analysis population

  • 1961 — randomized total; scope: entire trial
  • 655 — randomized group; scope: Placebo

Arm confidence interval not verified; no reconstruction was performed.

Percent change in body weight

Semaglutide minus placebo

Effect estimate

-12.4 percentage points

adjusted mean difference

Unit: percentage points

Baseline to week 68

Study weeks 0–68

Reported N: 1961 — combined full analysis population

  • 1961 — randomized total; scope: entire trial

95% confidence interval: -13.4 to -11.5

Reported p-value: <0.001 (Between-group comparison)

Discontinuation due to gastrointestinal events

Semaglutide 2.4 mg weekly

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

4.5 %

reported event percentage

Exact numerator: 59

Unit: %

During the trial; precise safety window not verified

Reported N: Not reported or not verified — outcome-specific denominator not verified

  • 1306 — randomized arm context only; scope: Semaglutide

Confidence interval for this event was not verified; descriptive count or percentage.

Discontinuation due to gastrointestinal events

Placebo

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

0.8 %

reported event percentage

Exact numerator: 5

Unit: %

During the trial; precise safety window not verified

Reported N: Not reported or not verified — outcome-specific denominator not verified

  • 655 — randomized arm context only; scope: Placebo

Confidence interval for this event was not verified; descriptive count or percentage.

Percent change in body weight — Semaglutide: extraction context
Outcome role
Not specified in the consulted scope
Scale reference
baseline_body_weight
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
treatment-policy primary estimand
Definition
Treatment effect assessed regardless of treatment discontinuation or rescue interventions, as described in the primary publication abstract.
Extraction location
Original article abstract; arm sample sizes cross-checked against registry participant flow
Percent change in body weight — Placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
Not specified in the consulted scope
Scale reference
baseline_body_weight
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
treatment-policy primary estimand
Definition
Treatment effect assessed regardless of treatment discontinuation or rescue interventions, as described in the primary publication abstract.
Extraction location
Original article abstract; arm sample sizes cross-checked against registry participant flow
Percent change in body weight — Semaglutide minus placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
Not specified in the consulted scope
Scale reference
Difference in percent change
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
treatment-policy primary estimand
Definition
Treatment effect assessed regardless of treatment discontinuation or rescue interventions, as described in the primary publication abstract.
Extraction location
Published comparison; SURMOUNT-5 contrast CI verified in official registry
  • Reported difference; not recomputed from rounded arm means.
Discontinuation due to gastrointestinal events — Semaglutide 2.4 mg weekly: extraction context
Outcome role
Descriptive safety outcome
Extraction location
Original article abstract, safety results
  • The safety denominator was not inferred from the randomized arm size.
Discontinuation due to gastrointestinal events — Placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
Descriptive safety outcome
Extraction location
Original article abstract, safety results
  • The safety denominator was not inferred from the randomized arm size.

What the curated evidence supports

  • In STEP 1, mean weight change was −14.9% with semaglutide and −2.4% with placebo at 68 weeks; the published adjusted difference was −12.4 percentage points (95% CI −13.4 to −11.5).
  • The STEP 1 abstract reports discontinuation due to gastrointestinal events in 59 participants (4.5%) receiving semaglutide and five (0.8%) receiving placebo.
  • Weight results during 68 or 72 treatment weeks and a two-week sleep intervention answer different questions from a withdrawal comparison after initial treatment. SURMOUNT-4 provides that specific comparison for 52 weeks after randomization.

Limitations

  • The result concerns 68 weeks of treatment; it does not establish maintenance after withdrawal.
  • The published adjusted difference is −12.4 pp and must not be replaced by subtraction of rounded arm means.

Verification scope

Verified through 2026-11-04 within the consulted scope.

Bibliographic metadata checked
Yes
Original article abstract consulted
Yes
Full-text consultation
Not consulted
Official trial registry consulted
Yes
Statistical analysis plan consulted
No
Verification boundary
Verification is limited to the specific fields and sources consulted; it is not a full systematic appraisal or GRADE rating.

Source record

Once-Weekly Semaglutide in Adults with Overweight or Obesity (2021). The New England journal of medicine.